By Tom Gantert, The Center Square

Inflation and price increases are by far the most important issue facing the country.

That’s according to The Center Square Voters’ Voice Poll conducted from Oct. 20-26, 2023, in conjunction with Noble Predictive Insights.

Other top concerns were Illegal Immigration (33%); Crime/violence (28%); Economy/jobs (24%).

The poll data showed that 48% of registered voters said inflation was the most important issue in the U.S. Illegal immigration had the second most support among registered voters at 35%. Crime and violence was the third most popular pick at 27%.

The poll reported that 95% of registered voters said they have seen prices increase over the last few years with 5% saying they have seen no change.

Among those who reported seeing price increases, 96% said the cost of groceries had increased and 82% said the cost of gasoline had increased.

Another 74% said their utility bills had increased.

“It’s not surprising that inflation is the top concern among voters,” said Antony Davies, an economist at Duquesne University. “Today’s grandparents were teenagers the last time Americans faced double-digit inflation. Politicians have done their best to deflect blame to the greed of corporations, leaving unaddressed the question of whether decades of low inflation were due to corporate altruism. The seeds of today’s inflation were laid during COVID when the Federal Reserve was expanding the money supply to pay for multi-trillions in government spending that Washington couldn’t afford.

One measure of inflation is the Consumer Price Index, which the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics describes as “a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.” 

The BLS bases CPI on the cost of food, clothing, shelter, fuels, transportation, doctors’ and dentists’ services, drugs and other products and services that people purchase on a daily basis.

From 2013 through 2020 in the mid-Atlantic region, the monthly percent increase in CPI ranged from as low as negative 0.2% in April 2015 to as high as 2.9% in June and July 2018.

But in 2021, monthly increases in CPI started occurring. CPI increased by 4.2% in April 2021 and then rose as high as 7% in December 2021. In 2022, the CPI monthly increases ranged from 6.5% to as high as 9.1%.

In 2023, the monthly increases in CPI have hovered at 3.7% in August and September.

The poll surveyed 2,605 voters and included 1,035 Republicans, 1,074 Democrats, and 496 Independents. The poll has a margin of error of 1.92%.

From the National Association of Manufacturers comes an update for October on economic indicators in the US:

* Existing home sales fell 4.1% to 3.79 million units at the annual rate in October, the lowest since August 2010, according to the National Association of Realtors. With sharply higher mortgage rates, homeowners are less willing to sell their existing homes, limiting inventories for sale.

* Single-family home sales declined 4.2% to 3.38 million units, and condominium and co-op sales declined 2.4% to 410,000 units. On a year-over-year basis, existing home sales plummeted 14.6% from 4.44 million units in October 2022. The median sales price was $391,800, up 3.4% from one year ago and a record for an October reading.

* On the housing front, mortgage rates have fallen in recent weeks after jumping to the highest level since November 2000 on Oct. 26. With rates pulling back slightly, demand should stabilize moving forward.

* Durable goods data for October provided mixed news, highlighting both the challenging economic environment for manufacturers but also some lingering resilience.

* After rising 4.0% in September, new durable goods orders dropped 5.4% in October, declining from $295.41 billion to $279.44 billion. Yet, these data were skewed by shifts in transportation equipment, with large declines in nondefense aircraft and parts, which can be highly volatile from month to month, and from strikes in the motor vehicle sector.

* Excluding transportation equipment, new durable goods orders were essentially flat, up from $187.35 billion to a record $187.37 billion. Through the first 10 months of 2023, new durable goods orders have decreased 0.9%, but with a gain of 1.6% year to date with transportation equipment excluded.

* Orders for core capital goods-a proxy for capital spending in the U.S. economy-edged down 0.1% to $73.79 billion, pulling back for the second straight month from the record $73.95 billion in August (while remaining not far from that level). Core capital goods orders have risen 1.1% year to date.

* The week ending Nov. 18 saw 209,000 initial unemployment claims, a five-week low. Meanwhile, the week ending Nov. 11 saw 1,840,000 continuing claims, down from 1,862,000 for the week ending Nov. 4, which was the highest since the week ending Nov. 27, 2021. While continuing claims reflect some cooling in recent weeks, the overall labor market remains strong overall.

The Index of Consumer Sentiment dropped from 63.8 in October to 61.3 in November, the lowest reading since May, according to final data from the University of Michigan and Thomson Reuters. Consumers felt less upbeat about both current and future economic conditions, with “a notable deterioration in expected business conditions.”

High school students’ scores on the ACT college admissions test have dropped to their lowest in more than three decades, showing a lack of student preparedness for college-level coursework, according to the organization that administers the test. Scores have been falling for six consecutive years, but the trend accelerated during the COVID-19 pandemic.

A new federal reporting requirement aimed at reducing corporate crime will affect some Montana farmers, ranchers and businesses, according to Montana State University Extension.

Beginning on Jan. 1, 2024, certain corporations, limited liability companies and other entities created or registered to do business in the U.S. will be required to report information about their beneficial owners to the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, or FinCEN, within the U.S. Treasury Department.

The new reporting requirement stems from the Corporate Transparency Act, passed by Congress in 2021. It is part of the U.S. government’s efforts to make it harder for bad actors to hide ill-gotten gains through shell companies or opaque ownership structures.

A beneficial owner is an individual who has substantial control over or owns at least 25% of a company.

A company created before Jan. 1, 2024, must file an initial report with FinCEN no later than Jan. 1, 2025. A company registered on or after Jan. 1, 2024, must file with FinCEN within 30 days of registration. Companies will have an ongoing obligation to file an updated report with FinCEN to disclose any changes in previously reported information or to any beneficial owner within 30 days of the change.

Montana farmers, ranchers and businesses can file reports with FinCEN electronically. The form to report beneficial ownership information will not be available until Jan. 1, 2024. Information about the form can be found at fincen. gov/boi.

MSU Extension provides links to FinCEN materials that provide information about the new reporting requirements which can be found at montana.edu/ estateplanning.

In a unanimous Opinion, the Montana Supreme Court has upheld a lower court ruling that vacated the State permit that allowed the expansion of the Rosebud coal mine in Colstrip,Montana.

In 2015, the Montana Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ) issued a permit for additional mining to Westmoreland Rosebud Mining. Several conservation groups challenged the permit, arguing it was issued in violation of the legal requirements of the Montana Strip and Underground Mine Reclamation Act.

A district court in eastern Montana agreed and vacated the permit, halting mining activities in the expanded area. However, the Montana Supreme Court temporarily reinstated the permit pending resolution of the legal issue. State law is based on federal requirements for regulating strip mines.

The Supreme Court ruled that the Board of Environmental Review (the Board) made several errors when it upheld DEQ’s finding that Westmoreland had demonstrated that the proposed mining activity is designed to prevent material damage to the hydrological balance in the area.

During the permitting process, Westmoreland acknowledged a projected 13% increase in salinity in the alluvium of East Fork Armell’s Creek from the proposed mining activities.

Although the additional salts in the alluvium would not be a statistically significant concentration, they would increase the length of time during which higher pollutant levels would be present. The Court held that the Board did not adequately analyze whether extending the duration of an existing water quality violation satisfied the legal requirements. Further, the Court ruled that the Board failed to properly consider the cumulative impacts of increased mining activity on the area water quality. The ruling halts mining expansion into Area B of the Rosebud Mine and sends the permitting process back to the Board for additional review.

By Christen Smith, The Center Square

Comparison shopping for the best prices – whether it’s car insurance, appliances or toilet paper – helps consumers stay on budget.

Healthcare services, according to a new report from the Commonwealth Foundation, shouldn’t be any different.

“The personal option is a crucial step toward putting the patient first,” said Elizabeth Stelle, the foundation’s director of policy analysis. “It would institute much-needed competition to empower patients with more plan options, lower prices, and greater transparency.”

The foundation, which advocates for fiscally conservative policies, said health care across Pennsylvania is “inaccessible, confusing and unaffordable.” Enforcing existing pricing transparency rules for hospitals, giving more practicing authority to nurse practitioners and pharmacists, and making it easier for smaller groups of workers to pool insurance plans could help, Stelle said, not “Medicare for all.”

“The government keeps expanding its role while access declines and costs surge,” she said.

Supporters of government-sponsored healthcare say “Medicare for all” would raise wages and empower workers to start small businesses, become self-employed, and find greater job satisfaction. In a 2020 report from the Economic Policy Institute, researchers said job losses in the insurance and billing administration industry would be offset by healthcare workforce growth, especially long-term care providers.

The foundation, however, says knowing is power, especially when it comes to the cost of medical care – both routine and extraordinary.

As such, the report promotes the expansion of direct primary care offices, which offer patients monthly or annual memberships to provide routine and preventative medical treatment. Doing so nixes insurance involvement and the cost of staff to file claims and manage reimbursements, according to the report.

Likewise, reinstating a Trump-era executive order that loosened the regulations on what types of workers can qualify for small group insurance coverage, including independent contractors and the self-employed, could lower costs and expand coverage. Data from the Congressional Budget Office estimated the new rule could have lowered premiums 30% in the small group market.

Eleven states, including Pennsylvania, and the District of Colombia sued the administration to overturn the order, claiming it exposed workers to unregulated – and at times fraudulent – plans that excluded coverage for pre-existing conditions and other mandates required by federal law. A 2019 appeal of the ruling remains pending.

The foundation isn’t the first to sound the alarm over the worsening plight of healthcare access for residents across the state. During a House Health Subcommittee on Health Facilities meeting last month, officials said accelerated hospital closures and consolidations create monopolies that drive up the cost of insurance premiums.

Patrick Keenan, director of consumer protections and policy for the Pennsylvania Health Access Network, said during the hearing that Republicans and Democrats widely agree that legislators should promote competition and oversight.

“That really charts the opportunity for this committee to consider all of these different variations – whether it’s access to care, whether it’s cost, whether it’s the economic impacts of a closure – and really start to consider what actions might be best to empower local choice and access,” he said.

The Billings Chamber of Commerce has announced the staff promotion of Jack Jennaway, and welcomes Kyra Cousins and Toby Walker to its staff.

Jennaway has been promoted to Business Advocacy Manager, Cousins fills the position of Visit Billings Visitor Services Manager, and Walker joins as the Member Recruitment Manager.

Jennaway accepted a promotion to Business Advocacy Manager. He began working at the Billings Chamber in March 2020. His key responsibilities include coordinating Business Advocacy program activities, leading crime prevention safety efforts and agriculture committee efforts, and implementing strategies to suppor the business community.

Additionally, Jennaway conducts research and information management, provides support for community levies and initiatives as directed by the Chamber Board of Directors, and assists with production of Business Advocacy publications and communications.

Cousins accepted the role of Visitor Services Manager for Visit Billings, managed by the Billings Chamber. She has worked as the Member Operations Specialist for the Billings Chamber, in which she handled a variety of operational tasks and providing exceptional support to members and clients. Her background and experience in customer service and serving as an integral part of daily operations will serve her well in her new role for Visit Billings. Walker is originally from Auburn, California and moved to Billings at a young age. He graduated with a bachelors’ degree in Mass Communications from North Dakota University in 2004.

After college, he returned to Billings and embarked on a career in the service side of the automotive industry. Prior to joining the Chamber staff, Walker worked as a Retail and Outside Sales Manager for MARS. His customer service background and people skills will serve him well in his role as Member Recruitment Manager.

Commercial

McCall Homes/ McCall Development, 6212 Norma Jean Sq N, Com New Other, 30,000

Valley Bible Church, Inc/ Upwork Construction, 3603 O’Shea Circle, Com Remodel, $20,306

School District # 23/ Langlas & Assoc., Inc., 6416 Elysian Rd, Com Addition, $300,000

Cogburn Holdings, LLC/ Dick Anderson Construction, 6767 Tun Tavern Rd, Com New Warehouse/Storage, $3,277,296

BBBillings LLC/ Langlas & Assoc., Inc, 548 Main St, Com Remodel, $375,000

Todd Denowh 320 N 17th St, Com Remodel, $2,385

Mclaws, Craig John Etal/  Colters Construction LLC, 3990 Avenue D, Com Remodel, $40,000

Intermountain Health/ Hardy Construction Co., 1233 N 30th St, Com Remodel , $250,000

Darcey Frewin, 300 S 24th St W, Com Remodel, $10,000

1889 Brewing Company LLC/ Neumann Construction, 204 N 13th St,  Com Remodel – Change In Use $180,000

Billings Clinic/ Environmental Contractors LLC., 2701 6th Ave N,  Demolition Permit Comm, $44,000

Residential

Hill, Jeff J & Tammy L/ Hill Builders, 1406 Anchor Ave, Res New Single Family, $310,362

Infinity Home LLC/ Infinity Home LLC, 960 Matador Ave, Res New Single Family, $211,636

Legacy LLC / CDH, LLC, 5225 Rich Ln, Res New Single Family, $374,967

John Haman/ HD Building Inc, 1317 Anchor Ave, Res New Single Family, $250,902

CDH, LLC/ CDH, LLC, 5235 Dovetail Ave, Res New Single Family, $281,058

Magnus Land Development LLC/ Brown Builders Inc., 6389 Signal Peak Ave, Res New Two Family, $326,204

Magnus Land Development LLC/ Brown Builders Inc., 6385 Signal Peak Ave, Res New Two Family, $326,204

Bollinger, Rikki K/ Stapleton Construction, 936 Dorothy Ln, Res New Accessory Structure, $188,172

Popelka, William K & Barbara E, 1113 Yale Ave, Res New Accessory Structure Garage, $36,864

Infinity Home LLC/ Infinity Home LLC, 7003 Bronze Blvd, Res New Single Family, $233,601

Kercher, Paul/ Perchall LLC, 4260 Long Rider Trl, Res New Single Family, $500,000

Hirsch, Wayne M & Traci J/ Jeff Engel Construction, Inc, 503 Winged Foot Dr, Res New Single Family, $700,000

Billings Best Builders/ Billings Best Builders LLC, 5342 S Iron Mountain Rd, Res New Single Family, $315,000

United Way of Yellowstone County has received a $2.5 million grant from the Bezos Day 1 Families Fund—the largest gift in the organization’s history. The grant is aimed at helping the homeless in Billings.

This is the sixth round of annual Day 1 Families Fund grants, which recognize organizations doing work to help families experiencing homelessness secure housing and achieve stability. The fund, created in 2018 by Jeff Bezos, former CEO and founder of Amazon, is part of a $2 billion commitment to such organizations throughout the country. This is the sixth round of grants, bringing the total awarded to $639 million.

According to Kim Lewis, president and CEO of United Way of Yellowstone County, the one-time grant will support United Way of Yellowstone County in serving children and adults in families experiencing homelessness, who represent more than a quarter of the homeless population nationally. Lewis explained that the funds will increase access to services and “empower coalitions.”

United Way of Yellowstone County will use The Day 1 Families Fund grant to divert families from homelessness and rehouse families.

What do The Rolling Stones, NFL star Tyreek Hill, and Maryland millionaires have in common? They all moved because of taxes.

You may not be a famous musician or a pro athlete, but you too may have considered taxes in deciding, “should I stay, or should I go?” Or maybe not. While high-profile stories abound, what do the data tell us about taxes and migration? Do people—regular people—really move because of taxes?

The answer is complicated, but one thing is clear: Americans are moving from higher-tax states to lower-tax states. This alone doesn’t prove anything, but the most recent IRS data seem to show a connection between taxes and migration:

* Nine of the top 10 states with the largest population gains from 2019 to 2020 have no or low individual income taxes (the most visible of all the tax types, and highly connected to where you live).

* Of the states that saw more income tax filers move in than out, nearly 80 percent had below-average state and local tax collections per capita in fiscal year 2020, while half of the states that experienced more filers moving out than in had above-average collections per capita.

* Similarly, 19 of the 28 states with more people moving in than out had a top marginal income tax rate below the national median, while 16 of the 22 states plus D.C. with more people moving out than in had above-median top income tax rates.

* Among the 25 best-ranking states on the 2020 State Business Tax Climate Index, 20 states gained taxpayers between 2019 and 2020. Among the 25 worst-ranking states on the Index, 17 lost taxpayers to interstate migration.

Of course, correlation does not equal causation, so how do we know taxes play a role in people’s location decisions?

One clue: most studies have found that state and local taxes affect migration, and the effect seems to have become stronger over the years—probably because technology has made it easier for people and businesses to move.

Another clue: survey data. An annual Census Bureau survey asks people who moved why they did it. Though it doesn’t ask about taxes directly, respondents’ answers reveal the indirect influence of taxes. For example, in 2017, 16 percent said they “wanted [a] new or better home,” 11.5 percent said they moved “to establish own household,” and 8.3 percent “wanted cheaper housing,” all of which are influenced by property taxes. And the 9.9 percent who moved for a “new job or job transfer” likely took into account income taxes and benefited from the job opportunities related to the state’s economic competitiveness.

Though people move for many different reasons, the evidence suggests taxes are at least one factor—both directly and indirectly. All things being equal, people prefer lower taxes. They also favor many of the things that a well-designed tax code helps facilitate, like a strong job market and a reasonable overall cost of living.

When people move out of a state, they take their earning power with them. IRS data from 2019 and 2020 shows that most states that lost people to interstate migration also lost adjusted gross income (AGI). Conversely, most states that gained people also gained AGI.

For example, in 2021, California and New York lost $29 billion and $25 billion in AGI, respectively, while Florida gained $39 billion.

And less income in the state means less tax revenue. In 2021, California lost $343 million while New York lost $300 million.

Evidently, people’s migration decisions can affect a state’s economy and budget.

While experts generally agree that taxes play some role in people’s decisions about where to live and work, they disagree over the significance. Some argue that the influence of taxes on migration decisions is so small, policymakers shouldn’t even consider it when designing tax policy.

But policymakers only have so many tools at their disposal to attract people. Not every state can offer warm weather and nice beaches. But they can control their taxes. Prioritizing structurally sound tax policy with low rates will not only lower people’s tax burdens—which clearly attracts some people—but also produce economic growth, increasing the job opportunities and wages that attract others.

A company in Bozeman, MagDrive Technologies, has revealed that oil and gas refineries can reduce their emission footprint by 62% through the adoption of magnetically actuated valves.

This innovative technology presents a significant leap in the industry’s efforts to meet climate regulations. MagDrive claims the technology will bring true zero emission components to industries like oil and gas, energy, nuclear, aerospace, and cryogenics.

MagDrive CEO, Nick Runyon, will present the team’s groundbreaking findings at the Conference of the Parties in Dubai on December 3.

Runyon’s presentation will showcase the crucial role of advanced technology in achieving the government’s ambitious global climate goals. The timing of the technology aligns with the need for rapid changes that will be necessary to meet the time restraints being called for to limit greenhouse gas emission to 1.5 degrees centigrade.

MagDrive is licensing its patented valve designs to qualified manufacturers, which will facilitate widespread availability of zero-emission valves to the oil and gas industry.

As a leader in zero-emission valve technology, MagDrive Technologies is committed to providing innovative solutions that address environmental challenges by reducing industrial emissions.